Thursday, March 31, 2011

How you Know it is Opening Day!


Here are some reasons that you know it is opening day: 
  • A sense of optimism is in the air as each team and its followers hope that this is the year for them.
  • There is an increase of baseball apparel with fans proudly displaying team hats, uniforms and other team gear.
  •  Sell-out crowds in cities that don’t usually have many throughout the season.
  • Team rosters are down to 25 players and you don’t have to keep referring to your media guide to know who is entering the game for your team, at least not for every player.
  • There is snow in northern cities such as Cleveland and Chicago as we have seen in the past; someone should tell Mother Nature it is baseball season.
  • Vin Scully is back in the broadcast booth. The legendary Dodgers announcer does it better than anyone is style and experience is second to none. What I would give to have one conversation with him as he is a walking history book of the game. For anyone that has not yet I suggest you read “Pull up a Chair: The Vin Scully Story” by Curt Smith it is a great read.  
  •  I say my goodbyes to my parents, especially my mother and let her know not to worry, I will call her in six months once the season is over, until then I’ll be preoccupied. 
Hope you enjoy opening day and enjoy the 2011 season as much as I will.
Be sure to add some of your own reasons that you enjoy opening day.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

2011 Cy Young Predictions


Reigning National League Cy Young award winner Roy Halladay has to be considered the early favourite to pick up the award once again in 2011. The 33 year old right-hander is the ace of arguable the best starting rotation in baseball and I expect Halladay to feed off of the rest of the rotation as the experienced staff will push one another day in and day out. You can pencil Halladay in for seven plus innings each time out and over 20 wins once again this year. No pitcher in baseball understands the art of pitching like Halladay and it is safe to say that no one in the game today prepares for each start with such assiduousness.
In the American League the early Cy Young favorite to me is right-hander Justin Verlander of the Tigers. The 28 year old has won 19 and 18 games respectively the last two seasons while averaging 232 innings and 244 strikeouts. The 2011 could mark his first twenty win season of his career, he has become a pitcher the last few years be mixing his pitches and not trying to simple overpower every hitter. The big question will be if the bullpen and the offense help him out this year but I expect him to kick his game up to the next level as he appears to be coming into his own.

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

2011 MVP Predictions


First Baseman Albert Pujols of the St. Louis Cardinals has to be considered the favourite to take the National League MVP this season. He is a perennial candidate for MVP each season and deservedly so. The numbers speak for themselves. Pujols is the only player in Major League history to hit over .300 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 99 runs scored, and 30 doubles each of his first ten seasons. The three time MVP and nine time All Star is the most consistent player in the game today. If you look in a dictionary under consistency a picture of Pujols swinging a bat is sure to be on the same page. His track record is impeccable and I see no reason that 2011 in terms of production will be any different, besides he is still only 31 years old and does not appearing to be slowing down anytime soon.
With all the speculation and off field circus that will follow Pujols regarding his new contract and potential free agency next offseason, one has to think that might be a distraction. I don’t believe that to be the case because Pujols is a consummate professional who will let his bat do the talking for him. He is clearly motivated to show that he is the top player in the game today and wants to be paid like it, although it is unlikely he will say that publicly.       
 Outfield Josh Hamilton of the Texas Rangers is the reigning American League MVP and he has to be the favourite to take home the award once again in 2011. The 29 year old missed 29 games last season due to injury yet still hit .359 with 32 home runs and 100 RBIs. I expect him to build on those numbers and return to his 2008 form when he drove in 130 RBIs. What makes Hamilton special is his ability to hit for a high average without sacrificing power. This is a rarity in the game today. He plays his home games in a ball park that has historically been a hitter’s paradise. Hamilton will have protection in the Texas line-up with Nelson Cruz and newly acquired Adrian Beltre batting around him. Defensively Hamilton has a rocket arm and the ability to play all three outfield spots. The biggest question about Hamilton is not what he can do when on the field but if he can stay healthy for the entire season as he has missed parts of four seasons due to injury. He is a three time All Star who is in the prime years of his career. The 2011 campaign will be his fifth in the Majors yet he is determined to help push the Rangers over the top this with hopes of winning it all this time around.

Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Cuban Sports System


In recent years Cuba has produced current Major League Baseball players such as Arodis Chapman (Reds), Kendry Morales (Angels), and Livan Hernandez (Nationals) to name a few. Plus prospects like Jose Iglesias (Red Sox), Yunesky Maya (Nationals), and Adeiny Hechavarria (Blue Jays). Each year a number of players defect and sign with Major League teams, a trend that I do not see stopping in the near future. Here is a paper I wrote for my globalization class on the Cuban Sports system including baseball. 
Located 90 miles off the Florida coast in Central America, is the country of Cuba, an island with a population of 11.5 million people (CIA, 2011). Cuba is a communist state led by current president General Raul Castro (since February 24, 2008), the capital city is Havana, and the official language is Spanish (CIA, 2011).  Cuba was ranked 110th in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) with an average of $9,900 per capita in 2010 (CIA, 2011).
Cuba is classified as a developing nation under the criteria of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) which considers three main factors (1) per capita income, (2) export diversification, and (3) degree of integration with global financial system (Wikipedia, 2011). Although Cuba is not officially listed by the IMF due to political reasons and is not currently a member of the IMF (imf.org, 2011). Since 1959, Cuba has been under a trade embargo by the United States as they do not support the Cuban political system which has negatively affected the Cuban economy over the last fifty years.   
Despite its economic ranking Cuba has had success internationally, most notably in the national and most popular sport, baseball, amassing a record of 63-1 in regional and world championships from 1988-1992 (Pettavino & Pye, 2002). They won gold medals in two Pan American Games, two world championships, three Intercontinental Cup Games and the first ever Olympic gold for baseball (Pettavino & Pye, 2002). The Cuban baseball team has medaled in all five Olympic Games that they have appeared winning the gold in 1992, 1996, and 2004, with silver place finishes in 2000 and 2008 (Sports Reference, 2011).
In the 1987 Pan-American Games held in Indianapolis, Cuba ended up winning 7.5 medals per million inhabitants compared to the United States 0.7 (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). When the 1991 Pan-American Games were held in Havana, Cuba continued to display its international excellence by winning 265 medals with the United States winning 352 (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). The big difference was the fact that Cuba won the most gold medals (140 to the US’s 130) and did so in the popular sports of baseball, basketball, boxing and track and field (Pettavino & Pye, 1994).  
The National Women’s volleyball team won three straight Olympic gold medals in the 1992, 1996, and 2000 showing their dominance in the sport (Sports Reference, 2011). Cuba has also been a force when it comes to amateur boxing having won 63 medals at the Olympics (32 gold, 19 silver, and 12 bronze), which is second to the US’s 108 (Sports Reference, 2011).   
A major reason Cuba has been successful in sport is due to the political importance that sport played. In 1959 when Fidel Castro’s regime took control of the country, a baseball team made up from members of his army called Los Barbudos (the Bearded Ones) played a series of exhibition games in an effort to build a stronger political following (Wendel, 2006). “During the succeeding years he would steer the nation toward communism and link it with the Soviet Union” (Wendel, 2006). It is the connection with the Soviet Union and communism that helped Cuba to establish their sport system in the early 1960’s which was in full effect during the late 1980’s. It is this same connection with the Soviet Union and the fact that Cuba is a communist country that the United States has become its biggest rival both on the field and politically. This means that any time that Cuba has defeated or had more success in any international tournament than the U.S.A. it is seen as more significant than sport itself as two conflicting political views (communism vs. capitalism) are facing off against each other; both trying to obtain the upper hand.   
The Cuban government under Fidel Castro understood the value of sport as it helped to promote both health and fitness of the people. The 1976 Constitution states that:
“Everyone has the right to physical education, sports and recreation. Enjoyment of this right is assured by including the teaching and practice of physical education and sports in the curricula of the national education system and means placed at the service of the people, which makes possible the practice of sports and recreation on a mass basis”(Pettavino & Pye, pp.96-97, 1994).
Participation is high although it is difficult to find accurate numbers due to poor record keeping over the years (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). It is clear however that since 1959 a significant increase has occurred due to the government push to promote sport in schools and at the grass root levels (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). This is due to the communist ideology of equality among the people. The government is seen to hold the will of the people and give the power to the people of the state under a true socialist political system. 
When it comes to the elite high performance sport the process began for individual athletes at an early age as the more talented would enter a specialty sports school which helped them focus on their specific sport over a number of years (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). A young athlete will be selected to attend a sports school based on either a recommendation from a teacher, his results in competition or a biotype test which includes stamina, coordination, speed, health, and sport skills (Pettavino & Pye, 1994).  The top athletes would continue to progress through the system and ultimately train at a national sports center for their particular sport (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). National training centers existed for boxing and baseball prior to 1959 which saw eleven new academies open for soccer, jai alai, swimming, volleyball, athletics, judo, basketball, fencing, wrestling, waterskiing, and kayaking (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). In order to speed up the development of these sports the coaches were either sent on an international exchange or foreign coaches were brought in from the Soviet Union and other Eastern European nations such as East Germany, Czechoslovakia, and Hungary; all communist nations during the 1960’s and 1970’s (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). Cuban officials were willing to do whatever it took and stated that “We pay whatever is necessary to bring them” (Pettavino & Pye, pp.148, 1994).  The fact that the Cuban government was aggressive in the recruiting process saved twenty years off the natural development of sport (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). In the 1970’s there were forty-two foreign coaches and when the 1992 Olympics came around only one foreign coach remained (Pettavino & Pye, 1994). 
Baseball first arrived in Cuba in the late 1860s, and early 1870s when university students returning from the United States brought with them equipment and helped organize the first teams (Carter, 2006). The Serie Nacional, the domestic league that currently exists, was originally formed in 1961, beginning with four teams (Carter, 2006). Today the league consists of sixteen teams, which are divided into a Western and Eastern conference, Occidente and Oriente (Carter, 2006). Each of the fourteen provinces have one team with the capital (Havana) having the remaining two teams (Carter, 2006). Due to league rules the players on each team must be born and live in the local region of their respected team, meaning that all players train and develop their skills in their hometown or province (Carter, 2006). It is unusual for players to change teams during their careers because trading is not allowed and free agency does not exist because that would make the players a commodity which only happens in capitalist societies as seen from the Cuban perspective (Carter, 2006). It is possible that a player theoretically could switch teams if he changed residence to a new region, but due to government restrictions Cubans are rarely allowed to change residence (Carter, 2006). In certain cases if a young prospect’s future development is blocked due to older more established players at his position he might be moved to a new team where he will get a better opportunity to play regularly (Carter, 2006). This is because the baseball officials want to continue to have international success and since all of the players on the national team come from the Serie Nacional, it is extremely important that those players that give Cuba the best chance of winning both now and in the future continue to come through the current development system so that the talent pipeline does not go dry.
Due to the affects of globalization the mystery that once surrounded Cuba and its athletes has been diminished as more athletes have defected in order to play professional sports in the United States. This is most notable in baseball where around 200 players have left Cuba since the early 1990’s with dreams of playing in Major League Baseball (MLB) and having a better life for themselves and their families (cubanball.com, 2011). At the same time information is also flowing into Cuba that in the past did not. This can be explained by the increasing number of tourists and foreigners visiting Cuba on a yearly basis. In 1999 the Baltimore Orioles played a two game exhibition series with the Cuban National Team, with one game in Havana and the other in Baltimore (Wendel, 2006). The series was split as each team came away with one victory (Wendel, 2006).
There is some uncertainty as to what the future of sport holds in Cuba both domestically and on the international stage. Some factors that will determine the direction of Cuban sport include: the health of Castro and his political party, United States foreign policy towards Cuba, Cuban relations with the rest of the world, and the poor economic conditions that have caused many struggles for Cubans today (Pettavino & Pye, 2002)
   Cuba is a rare exception of a country that is not considered a developed country yet has been very successful in international competitions such as world championships and at the Olympic level, when it comes to sport. Government officials have done an excellent job of promoting sport at both the grassroots and high performance levels mainly thru the education system. The most popular sport is baseball which is also the national sport. In the future it is unknown as to what effects globalization might have on Cuba as it is likely that athletes will want to play in top leagues in the world.  In all likelihood it will be extremely difficult for Cuba to have the success that it did during the 1980’s and early 1990’s, as the sport system is not as strong as it once was due to political uncertainty. However, Cuba will continue to produce world class athletes as it has done in the past just not at the same rate. Sport is one of the few ways that Cuban citizens can better their lives because of the opportunities that may not otherwise exist.  
References
Carter, T. (2006). Cuba: Community, Fans, and Ballplayers. In Gmelch, G. Baseball without
Borders: The international pastime (pp.147-159). University of Nebraska.
CIA World Factbook (2011). Cuba. Retrieved February 4, 2011, from CIA:
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/cu.html
Cuban Ball (2011). Cuban Defectors. Retrieved February 4, 2011, from Cuban Ball:
                http://www.cubanball.com/Images/History/RedBall/Defect/Defect.pdf
International Monetary Fund (2011). Country Information. Retrieved February 4, 2011, from
IMF: http://www.imf.org/external/country/index.htm
Pettavino, P., & Pye, G. (1994). Sport in Cuba: The Diamond in the Rough. Pittsburgh:
University of Pittsburgh Press.
Pettavino, P., & Pye, G. (1994). Sport in Cuba: Castro’s Last Stand. In Arbena, J. & LaFrance,
D. Sport in Latin America and the Caribbean (pp.145-162). Wilmington, DE: Scholarly
Resources Inc. 
Sports Reference (2011). Olympic Sports: Cuba. Retrieved February 4, 2011, from Sports
Reference: http://www.sports-reference.com/olympics/countries/CUB/
Wendel, T. (2006). Cuba: Behind the Curtain. In Gmelch, G. Baseball without Borders: The
international pastime (pp.136-146). University of Nebraska.
Wikipedia (2011). Developing Nations. Retrieved February 4, 2011, from Wikipedia:
             http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Developing_nation

Monday, March 14, 2011

Book Recommendation: The Extra 2%

 I recently read “The Extra 2%: How Wall Street Strategies Took a Major League Baseball Team from Worst to First” written by fellow Canadian and Montreal native Jonah Keri. The book examines the Tampa Bay Rays and the transformation that occurred under new ownership and management.  It was a great read full of information on the history of the Rays/Devil Rays franchise during their twelve years in existence.  Keri does not just tell the story but interviewed over 175 members around the organization and baseball as he searches for the reason why certain events transpired the way they did. In some ways it reminded me of Michael Lewis’s Moneyball due to the in-depth analysis throughout both books.
I highly recommend this book to anyone who is a fan of baseball or anyone that works in the business world. You might reassess your own personal management style or simple have a better understanding of why people act the way they do in the workplace or daily life in general. I could tell you more but do yourself a favor by reading it and don’t be afraid to ask questions because that is how we will learn more about the world around us.  It is okay to analyze and think critically about things. If we do not ask questions then we will never find the answers.  
For more information be sure to check out http://jonahkeri.com/

Monday, March 7, 2011

Top rookies in class of 2011

Each year there are a handful of rookies that don’t just make the big league roster but have a colossal impact on their team. In 2010 we saw the likes of Buster Posey, Jason Heyward, and Neftali Feliz burst onto the scene. Here are some names to watch this time around:
1.      Jesus Montero, C, New York Yankees – His bat is big league ready and he has improved defensively as a catcher. The Yankees will not rush him but with Jorge Posada strictly the DH this year it appears that Montero will get his opportunity sooner rather than later.  
2.      Aroldis Chapman, LHP, Cincinnati Reds – He was impressive in his limited time with the Reds at the end of last season. His fastball sits at over 100 MPH and he will start the season in the bullpen and could be the closer by seasons end.
3.      Freddie Freeman, 1B, Atlanta Braves – The first base job in Atlanta is his for the taking and the 21 year old appears up to the challenge of Major League pitching. He will have his ups and downs over the course of a full season but should put together a solid rookie campaign. 
4.      Jeremy Hellickson, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays – The Baseball America Minor League Player of the Year in 2010. The Matt Garza trade opened up a spot in the rotation for Hellickson. If not for the young rotation in Tampa last year, Hellickson would have played a bigger factor in 2010.
5.      Chris Sale, LHP, Chicago White Sox – He was the first player from the 2010 draft to make it to the Majors. He will most likely start the year in AAA Charlotte as a starter but could be either in the rotation or near the back of the bullpen by mid-season.
6.      Domonic Brown, OF, Philadelphia Phillies – Some had him penciled in as the replacement for Jayson Werth in right field, but that will not be until later in the year following a broken bone in his hand this spring. He will start his year in AAA Lehigh Valley where he will refine his approach at the plate.
  7.  Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay Rays – The speedster is seen as the replacement for Carl Crawford, He might begin the year in AAA as the Rays will have to find at bats for newly acquired veterans Johnny Damon and Manny Ramirez. But will be one of the first call-ups from AAA Durham should an injury occur to any of the outfielders.
 8.    Dustin Ackley, 2B, Seattle Mariners – The Arizona Fall League MVP, showing his bat is major league ready. He is expected to start the year in AAA Tacoma where he can continue to work on his defense as the Mariners might wait until mid season as to avoid super 2 arbitration status.  
9.      Mike Minor, LHP, Atlanta Braves – He should be the 5th Starter for the Braves come opening day. If there is one thing the Braves continue to do is develop pitching and expect Minor to be the part of the next wave of young pitching that is on the way.
10.  Kyle Drabek, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays – The centerpiece of the Roy Halladay trade a year ago will be given a chance to win a spot in the back of the rotation. He showed he can hold his own in the majors after making 3 starts late last season. I expect him to start the year in AAA Las Vegas as the Jays have no reason to rush him.  He should be a regular in the Jays rotation by mid-season.
A few other rookies that could make an impact but most likely will not appear in the Majors until late in the season include:
Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City Royals
Mike Moustakas, 3B, Kansas City Royals
Julio Teheran, RHP, Atlanta Braves
Brandon Belt, 1B, San Francisco Giants
Brett Lawrie, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays